Aam Aadmi Party – First Myth

Sunil Rajguru, who is a kindred spirit, has written an article which is in line with some of our own theories. He beat us to the punch and kudos to him. He has listed seven myths about the Aam Aadmi party. Here we are going to go through each myth and add our own opinion to it.

AAP is in the league of Congress and BJP.

Make no mistake about it. The Congress has the largest political network in India. Nobody comes even close. They have the maximum number or workers and loyalists spread all across India.

In second place is the RSS network. RSS workers all across the country have dedicated their lives to serve their cause and the BJP piggy backs on this. The RSS-BJP network is the second largest political one in India. Both the top two networks have been as a result of millions and millions of man hours spread across decades and decades of hard work.

The AAP network is gaining traction for sure, but could emerge as India's third largest network only in 2019. To place them in the league of the Big 2 in 2014 is laughable.

The truth is that the AAP is in competition with the BJD, Trinamool, SP, BSP, DMK, ADMK… and it is conceivable that many of these parties will get more LS seats than the AAP.

Sunil makes valid points about the existing networks of established parties. In my opinion, the AAP also can match or come close to the number of volunteers of Congress or RSS or BJP. However a large number of volunteers do not make an effective organization. What the AAP does not have at ground levels outside of Delhi is a structured organization with well defined leadership. They need to develop leaders at every level who can then manage the incoming volunteers otherwise they are going to have repeats of the disastrous Janata Darbar experiment.

It has taken over a decade of good governance for Modi to be known all over the country. How can Arvind Kejriwal with no governance to show for or no other form of name recognition expect to make a difference in non-metropolitan areas? With that in mind, one has to ask this question – is the proposal of Kejriwal / AAP as a national alternative a trick to rattle the BJP supporter? It is quite clear even to the stupidest that the AAP can at best be a spoiler of sorts.

Sunil also makes a good point when he says that the best AAP can expect is to be in the league with the regional parties. However, the regional parties have a united voter base due to their regional aspiration, myopic as they may be. However, the supporters of the AAP are a disjointed lot with only anti-corruption as the only major issue to unite them. Beyond that the AAP is nothing but another form of the Communist Party. When the middle class supporters of the AAP will be forced to reconsider their support when they realize the following:

a. That there are other anti-corruption crusaders who are fighting it without making tall claims and in a more prudent way.
b. That the AAP policies on national security are downright disastrous and following them will be playing in the hands of terrorists of all kinds (Islamic, Maoist, Naxals).
c. That the economic policies of the AAP are regurgitation of Marxist policies which will take India back a few decades.
d. That the populist moves made so far are a knee jerk reaction rather than well thought out policies. Has the AAP ever thought of who is going to pay for the freebies?
e. That the pre-election statements of the AAP and the post election behavior of the AAP leaders do not match. Kejriwal swore on his children about coalition forming and here we are! His so called austere movements (followed quietly by other leaders in the country) are costing the taxpayer a lot more. Doing about turns is not unique to Kejriwal but he is the one who makes a huge deal about it and therefore comes through as a bigger hypocrite than the rest of Indian politicians. Moreover, all his bluster about going after Dixit and other corrupt leaders of earlier administration has been sacrificed at the altar of coalition politics. Nabbing meter readers and corrupt constables will solve nothing.

Like them or not, Congress and BJP have a history and people know what they stand for. They know that voting for Congress means a repeat of the last (or lost) decade. Voting for BJP means implementation of policies that have worked brilliantly in Gujarat. However, voting for AAP means a protest vote. Indian voter cannot afford to waste their vote with the future of the country at stake.

AAP needs to work for another decade and only then they can make a claim to be a national alternative. Until then they remain a rag tag outfit, fit only for hit and run kind of operations

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